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Thursday, May 7, 2015

Rompin : A Lesson For DAP & PKR

UMNO was saved from further embarrassment in Rompin because many Malay voters based in KL did not go back to vote. The reading is if they had gone back, the Pakatan would have picked up even more votes and UMNO's majority would have become razor thin.

PAS retained almost the same number of votes about 14000 plus, as in 2013. The voter turnout however was smaller at just over 70%.  In 2013 it was over 80% turnout. This means more UMNO voters have migrated over to PAS.

Considering the area has a large number of Felda settlers, it means that support for UMNO in Felda is also eroding.  I dont know if the UMNO boys can understand simple facts like these.  Rompin is a solidly Malay majority constituency. Imagine the more mixed constituencies. I think UMNO and BN are screwed on the Peninsula.

But over among the Pakatan, here is a strange video from today's Star :



These are PKR and PAS supporters yelling at each other, pushing and shoving over the PAS hudud.  PAS wants PAS' hudud whereas PKR does not want PAS' hudud. And they are both on the same team. 

This clash happened one day after the Rompin results. PAS now feels that they are regaining the Malay ground. This is true because in Rompin a lot of young Malay voters voted for PAS.

PAS feels that they can swing it with hudud and support from Malay voters. Hence they may not even need PKR and DAP. 

Hadi is in support of cooperating with UMNO. The UMNO led gomen has set up a joint working committee with PAS (through the JAKIM) to discuss hudud with PAS.

So PAS does not need DAP and PKR.  The Chinese voters in Rompin have gone back to the BN because they are afraid of PAS and the hudud.

The DAP and PKR must realise that they bear a huge responsibility for creating the pro hudud atmosphere in PAS and UMNO.  Both PAS and UMNO are out of ideas how to sustain themselves in the next elections.  Hudud, religion and the threat of extinction of Malay political dominance is now pulling PAS and UMNO together.

It will best serve the interests of both the DAP and PKR to break their ties with PAS immediately.  The Chinese vote will swing away from them while the Malay vote will swing between UMNO and PAS.  The DAP and PKR will be the bigger losers.

In mixed constituencies this may have a large bearing on the fate of the DAP and PKR.  

UMNO is also working hard for the breakup of the Pakatan. So DAP/PKR breaking from PAS would fall in exactly with UMNO's hopes as well.  My view is whether the Pakatan breaks up or no, UMNO / BN is a gone case. Rompin is a precursor. Malay votes are shifting away from UMNO / BN.

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